2024 Q1 | Edition 5 | Article 2

A person facing many pathways none clear

Avoiding mono-causal explanations

There is an old Korean story about a farmer and his son. They were not very wealthy, and the father was old and found it difficult to work the farm. They relied on their horse to support the boy in sowing the fields and maintaining the crops. One day, the horse ran away. ‘Curse that horse! She has ruined it for us!’ The young boy shouted as he looked at the impossibility of the workload ahead of. ‘We will never get the field sown without a horse.’ The father, who was weak but wise simply replied, ‘Good news or bad news. We shall see.’

The next day, the horse returned with three others and the family were able to keep the youngest and fittest horse and sell the others to their neighbours. ‘This is such incredible luck!’ The son reacted. ‘We shall see,’ his father replied.

The following week, the spirited horse threw the young man from the saddle, and he fell and broke his ankle. It meant that he couldn’t water and weed the crops. The younger man was devastated, but his father’s reaction was still the same. ‘We shall see.’

Two weeks later, armed soldiers came recruiting young men from the village for war. They left the boy who was lame, but took all the other young men. The battle was fierce, and none returned to the village alive. The old man hugged his son and said, ‘Good news or bad news, we shall see.’

A winter farm

The challenge of reacting to events around us

The way we respond to events around us rarely has anything to do with the event itself. It derives its meaning from our expectations. The wise old farmer had lived long enough to learn the calm that comes from controlling expectations and simple explanations of life.

Many events amass around our peripheral understanding. The person we are today is not usually the result of the decision we took 10 minutes ago, unless it was a particularly unusual and life-changing choice. Instead, it is the result of 10,000 small and inconsequential decisions that we took without consideration or intention. How then, do we model a better world around ourselves based on that kind of complexity?

There are three steps to becoming more like the wise old farmer and less reactive to the events around you.

The nature of the world around us is that we live in a state of chaos. There is rarely a simple mono-causal explanation to events that are worth investing time in understanding. Your goal is not to make perfect sense of the world around you but to find order.

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